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Friday, April 11, 2025

Impact on Banks if a Blue-Chip Company Fails

Blue-chip companies are considered the backbone of the economy—large, financially stable, and historically reliable. But what happens when one of these giants fails? 

When a BlueChip or any big company fails, the impact is not only on the stakeholders of that company. The ripple effects can be severe, especially for banks that have significant exposure to such companies. In this blog post, we’ll explore how banks are impacted when a blue-chip company collapses, the risks involved, and real-world examples from India.


What are Blue Chip companies?

A blue-chip company is a well-established, financially sound corporation with a history of stable earnings and strong market capitalization. 

A few typical examples in India include Reliance Industries, TCS, and HDFC Bank. 

When such a company fails, it sends shockwaves through the financial system, particularly affecting banks that have lent money to or invested in the company.




How Banks Are Exposed to Blue-Chip Failures


  1. 1. Loan Defaults

    • Banks often provide large loans to blue-chip companies due to their perceived stability. If the company defaults, banks face non-performing assets (NPAs), hurting their balance sheets.

    • Example: If a blue-chip company like Tata Steel defaults on a ₹10,000 crore loan, the lending bank must classify this as an NPA, reducing its profitability.


  2. 2. Investment Losses

    • Banks may hold equity or bonds of blue-chip companies in their investment portfolios. A collapse leads to a sharp decline in asset value.

    • Example: If Yes Bank held bonds of a failing blue-chip, their market value would plummet, eroding the bank’s capital.


  3. 3. Contagion Risk

    • A blue-chip failure can trigger panic, leading to a broader sell-off in the stock market. Banks with exposure to other firms in the same sector may face secondary losses.


  4. 4. Collateral Damage

    • Banks often accept shares of the borrowing company as collateral. If the stock crashes, the collateral’s value diminishes, increasing the bank’s risk.


    • 5. Higher Provisions:

    • RBI mandates banks to set aside higher provisions for NPAs, reducing available capital for lending. When banks can lend less, it directly impacts their future earnings.


  • 6. Credit Crunch:

  • Considering that the banks may feel the heat of this failure, banks may become risk-averse, tightening loans to other businesses, slowing the overall economic growth.


So, as you see, everything in the economic engine is interconnected through a complex web. One cog in this wheel can derail the entire engine.


Indian Tax Rules Related to Bank Losses


  1. Banks are themselves subject to tax laws during such periods of distress, like the ones below:
    1. Bad Debt Write-offs

    • Banks can claim tax deductions on bad debts written off under Section 36(1)(vii) of the Income Tax Act. Conditions apply, such as the debt being recognized as irrecoverable.

  2. 2. Capital Gains on Asset Sales

    • If a bank sells distressed assets (e.g., collateral) at a loss, it can offset capital gains with these losses.

  3. 3. Provisions for NPAs

    • Tax deductions are allowed only for specific provisions (e.g., under RBI guidelines). General provisions are not deductible.




Example Case: IL&FS Crisis (2018)


  • What Happened? 

  • Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services (IL&FS), a blue-chip NBFC, defaulted on ₹90,000 crore in debt.

  • Bank Impact:

    • Public sector banks like SBI and PNB faced massive NPAs.

    • RBI intervened, forcing banks to increase provisions, hurting profits.

    • Credit markets froze, affecting liquidity for other corporates.



Summary

Nothing in a giant economy works in isolation. 

The failure of a blue-chip company can destabilize banks through loan defaults, investment losses, and systemic risks. 

While regulatory safeguards exist, the aftermath often includes tighter credit conditions and economic slowdowns. 

Investors and depositors should monitor banks’ exposure to large corporates to assess risk.



Reference Links

Book: The Autobiography of a Stock

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